000
WHXX01 KMIA 070642
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0642 UTC FRI OCT 7 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111007 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111007  0600   111007  1800   111008  0600   111008  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.6N 119.6W   13.9N 120.2W   13.9N 120.2W   13.7N 118.9W
BAMD    13.6N 119.6W   14.1N 120.5W   14.3N 121.0W   14.1N 121.3W
BAMM    13.6N 119.6W   13.9N 120.2W   13.9N 120.2W   13.5N 119.5W
LBAR    13.6N 119.6W   14.6N 120.8W   15.5N 121.7W   16.3N 122.3W
SHIP        65KTS          75KTS          83KTS          89KTS
DSHP        65KTS          75KTS          83KTS          89KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111009  0600   111010  0600   111011  0600   111012  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.5N 116.4W   15.7N 108.9W   19.2N 103.4W   20.4N 102.1W
BAMD    13.3N 121.1W   12.4N 119.9W   12.6N 117.6W   12.0N 116.8W
BAMM    13.0N 118.2W   13.7N 112.8W   16.1N 105.4W   17.4N 100.0W
LBAR    16.8N 122.4W   18.0N 121.0W   19.6N 118.8W   20.4N 117.4W
SHIP        88KTS          81KTS          66KTS          60KTS
DSHP        88KTS          81KTS          66KTS          60KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.6N LONCUR = 119.6W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  12.6N LONM12 = 117.6W DIRM12 = 294DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  12.1N LONM24 = 116.3W
WNDCUR =   65KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   50KT
CENPRS =  990MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   75NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
NNNN


000
WHXX01 KMIA 070642
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0642 UTC FRI OCT 7 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992011) 20111007 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111007  0600   111007  1800   111008  0600   111008  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.5N  93.1W   10.9N  94.4W   11.2N  95.5W   11.4N  96.3W
BAMD    10.5N  93.1W   10.5N  94.4W   10.5N  95.5W   10.4N  96.2W
BAMM    10.5N  93.1W   11.0N  94.2W   11.5N  95.1W   11.8N  95.8W
LBAR    10.5N  93.1W   11.0N  94.0W   11.4N  94.7W   11.7N  95.2W
SHIP        20KTS          22KTS          23KTS          24KTS
DSHP        20KTS          22KTS          23KTS          24KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111009  0600   111010  0600   111011  0600   111012  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.8N  96.9W   12.8N  97.4W   14.8N  95.6W   17.3N  93.9W
BAMD    10.2N  96.9W    9.6N  98.3W    9.1N 100.2W    8.5N 101.1W
BAMM    12.2N  96.5W   13.3N  97.1W   15.5N  95.7W   17.9N  93.6W
LBAR    12.4N  95.5W   14.4N  96.0W   17.0N  96.9W   20.0N  97.6W
SHIP        27KTS          31KTS          32KTS          37KTS
DSHP        27KTS          31KTS          32KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  10.5N LONCUR =  93.1W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =   9.7N LONM12 =  91.7W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =   9.3N LONM24 =  90.7W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  125NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN