000
WTNT80 EGRR 070600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.10.2011

        TROPICAL STORM IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N 118.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.10.2011  13.2N 118.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.10.2011  13.7N 119.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2011  14.2N 120.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.10.2011  14.4N 121.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2011  14.4N 121.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2011  14.7N 120.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2011  15.2N 119.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2011  15.4N 118.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2011  15.3N 117.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.10.2011  15.1N 115.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.10.2011  15.3N 113.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.10.2011  16.5N 111.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.10.2011  18.8N 108.8W   MODERATE     LITTLE CHANGE



        TROPICAL STORM JOVA       ANALYSED POSITION : 12.8N 107.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.10.2011  12.8N 107.8W   MODERATE
 12UTC 07.10.2011  14.0N 109.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2011  15.9N 110.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2011  16.5N 111.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2011  17.2N 110.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2011  17.6N 109.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2011  18.0N 108.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2011  18.4N 107.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2011  18.9N 106.0W   STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.10.2011  19.2N 104.9W   STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.10.2011  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH



             HURRICANE PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 28.9N  58.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.10.2011  28.9N  58.8W   MODERATE
 12UTC 07.10.2011  29.6N  56.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2011  30.4N  53.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2011  32.4N  49.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2011  EXTRA-TROPICAL

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 070534