000
WTNT80 EGRR 061800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.10.2011

        TROPICAL STORM IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 116.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.10.2011  12.1N 116.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 07.10.2011  13.0N 117.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2011  13.9N 118.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2011  14.3N 120.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2011  14.5N 120.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2011  14.5N 120.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2011  14.7N 120.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2011  15.1N 119.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2011  15.4N 118.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2011  15.5N 117.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.10.2011  15.2N 115.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2011  15.1N 113.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.10.2011  15.8N 111.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             HURRICANE PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 27.3N  60.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.10.2011  27.3N  60.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 07.10.2011  28.7N  59.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.10.2011  29.1N  57.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2011  29.4N  54.7W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.10.2011  30.9N  50.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2011  33.9N  46.2W   MODERATE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.10.2011    EXTRA-TROPICAL

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.3N 106.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.10.2011  11.3N 106.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 07.10.2011  12.7N 107.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2011  14.2N 108.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2011  15.6N 109.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2011  16.6N 110.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2011  17.2N 109.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2011  17.5N 108.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2011  17.6N 107.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2011  17.6N 105.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2011  18.1N 103.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2011  18.0N 103.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.10.2011     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 061641