000
WHXX01 KMIA 060737
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0737 UTC THU OCT 6 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE ELEVEN (EP112011) 20111006 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111006  0600   111006  1800   111007  0600   111007  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.7N 116.5W   11.8N 117.4W   11.8N 118.0W   12.0N 118.4W
BAMD    11.7N 116.5W   11.8N 118.0W   12.1N 119.3W   12.5N 120.3W
BAMM    11.7N 116.5W   11.8N 117.7W   12.2N 118.6W   12.7N 119.2W
LBAR    11.7N 116.5W   12.1N 117.9W   12.7N 119.3W   13.4N 120.6W
SHIP        25KTS          30KTS          35KTS          42KTS
DSHP        25KTS          30KTS          35KTS          42KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111008  0600   111009  0600   111010  0600   111011  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.2N 118.4W   12.1N 116.2W   12.5N 108.8W   13.3N 101.2W
BAMD    12.7N 121.2W   12.7N 122.2W   13.7N 121.7W   16.4N 118.8W
BAMM    13.0N 119.6W   13.2N 119.5W   14.6N 116.5W   16.3N 110.1W
LBAR    14.2N 121.7W   15.7N 123.2W   17.9N 122.9W   21.5N 121.1W
SHIP        48KTS          52KTS          47KTS          41KTS
DSHP        48KTS          52KTS          47KTS          41KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.7N LONCUR = 116.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  11.6N LONM12 = 114.7W DIRM12 = 267DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  11.7N LONM24 = 113.5W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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