000
WTNT80 EGRR 060600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.10.2011

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 26.2N  61.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.10.2011  26.2N  61.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.10.2011  27.8N  60.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2011  28.7N  59.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.10.2011  29.4N  56.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2011  29.9N  54.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2011  31.0N  50.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2011  34.5N  44.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.10.2011  EXTRA-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 12.8N 106.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.10.2011  12.8N 106.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.10.2011  14.2N 107.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2011  15.9N 108.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2011  16.0N 107.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2011  16.5N 107.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2011  17.0N 106.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2011  17.3N 104.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 10.10.2011  17.9N 103.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.10.2011  18.0N 103.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.10.2011  18.9N 102.3W     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.8N 120.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.10.2011  12.8N 120.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.10.2011  13.8N 120.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2011  14.0N 121.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2011  14.2N 121.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2011  14.6N 120.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2011  15.1N 119.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2011  15.3N 117.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2011  15.5N 114.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2011  15.7N 112.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2011  15.6N 110.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 060506