000
WHXX01 KMIA 060236
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0236 UTC THU OCT 6 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE TEN (EP102011) 20111006 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111006  0000   111006  1200   111007  0000   111007  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     9.9N 104.7W   10.3N 106.2W   10.5N 107.3W   10.9N 108.4W
BAMD     9.9N 104.7W   10.2N 106.5W   10.8N 108.1W   11.3N 109.2W
BAMM     9.9N 104.7W   10.3N 106.5W   10.8N 108.0W   11.4N 109.3W
LBAR     9.9N 104.7W   10.4N 106.7W   10.9N 108.8W   12.2N 110.8W
SHIP        30KTS          37KTS          44KTS          50KTS
DSHP        30KTS          37KTS          44KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111008  0000   111009  0000   111010  0000   111011  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.5N 109.1W   13.6N 109.3W   16.0N 108.6W   16.9N 108.6W
BAMD    11.8N 110.0W   12.6N 110.5W   14.0N 109.2W   16.3N 106.8W
BAMM    12.0N 110.1W   13.7N 110.6W   15.5N 108.8W   17.4N 106.8W
LBAR    13.2N 112.9W   15.1N 115.5W   16.6N 115.8W   19.1N 114.7W
SHIP        56KTS          60KTS          62KTS          56KTS
DSHP        56KTS          60KTS          62KTS          56KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   9.9N LONCUR = 104.7W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =   9.5N LONM12 = 102.9W DIRM12 = 281DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =   9.4N LONM24 = 101.1W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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