000
WHXX01 KMIA 051824
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1824 UTC WED OCT 5 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP982011) 20111005 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111005  1800   111006  0600   111006  1800   111007  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.0N 103.8W   10.3N 105.4W   10.7N 106.8W   11.3N 107.9W
BAMD    10.0N 103.8W   10.3N 105.6W   10.8N 107.3W   11.4N 108.8W
BAMM    10.0N 103.8W   10.4N 105.7W   10.9N 107.5W   11.8N 109.0W
LBAR    10.0N 103.8W   10.4N 105.7W   11.0N 108.0W   11.9N 110.1W
SHIP        25KTS          26KTS          29KTS          35KTS
DSHP        25KTS          26KTS          29KTS          35KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111007  1800   111008  1800   111009  1800   111010  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.9N 108.8W   13.9N 109.4W   16.5N 109.2W   19.2N 110.5W
BAMD    12.1N 109.8W   13.2N 110.9W   15.1N 111.1W   18.0N 110.8W
BAMM    12.6N 110.2W   14.4N 111.5W   16.9N 112.0W   19.2N 112.3W
LBAR    13.3N 112.2W   15.3N 115.5W   16.9N 116.1W   19.1N 115.2W
SHIP        39KTS          45KTS          49KTS          50KTS
DSHP        39KTS          45KTS          49KTS          50KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  10.0N LONCUR = 103.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =   9.7N LONM12 = 102.4W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =   9.7N LONM24 = 100.1W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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