000
WHXX01 KMIA 051652
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1652 UTC WED OCT 5 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP982011) 20111005 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111005  1200   111006  0000   111006  1200   111007  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     9.8N 103.3W   10.0N 104.8W   10.4N 106.1W   10.9N 107.2W
BAMD     9.8N 103.3W   10.0N 105.1W   10.3N 106.8W   10.9N 108.3W
BAMM     9.8N 103.3W   10.1N 105.0W   10.6N 106.8W   11.4N 108.4W
LBAR     9.8N 103.3W   10.0N 105.4W   10.7N 107.8W   11.3N 110.0W
SHIP        25KTS          28KTS          31KTS          38KTS
DSHP        25KTS          28KTS          31KTS          38KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111007  1200   111008  1200   111009  1200   111010  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.7N 108.2W   14.0N 109.6W   16.0N 110.1W   18.1N 110.5W
BAMD    11.6N 109.7W   13.0N 111.3W   14.3N 111.5W   16.4N 110.3W
BAMM    12.2N 109.9W   14.2N 111.7W   15.9N 112.0W   17.9N 111.5W
LBAR    12.6N 112.2W   14.8N 115.8W   16.3N 117.1W   18.5N 116.2W
SHIP        43KTS          49KTS          50KTS          53KTS
DSHP        43KTS          49KTS          50KTS          53KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   9.8N LONCUR = 103.3W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =   9.7N LONM12 = 101.1W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =   9.6N LONM24 =  97.9W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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