000
WHXX01 KMIA 051249
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1249 UTC WED OCT 5 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972011) 20111005 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111005  1200   111006  0000   111006  1200   111007  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.8N 113.9W   12.1N 115.5W   12.3N 117.1W   12.7N 118.7W
BAMD    11.8N 113.9W   12.1N 115.5W   12.4N 117.3W   13.0N 119.1W
BAMM    11.8N 113.9W   12.1N 115.5W   12.4N 117.2W   13.0N 118.9W
LBAR    11.8N 113.9W   12.1N 115.4W   12.7N 117.1W   13.3N 118.6W
SHIP        25KTS          30KTS          37KTS          45KTS
DSHP        25KTS          30KTS          37KTS          45KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111007  1200   111008  1200   111009  1200   111010  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.2N 120.1W   13.7N 122.3W   13.5N 121.9W   14.7N 118.1W
BAMD    13.7N 120.7W   14.8N 123.3W   14.7N 125.4W   14.6N 124.8W
BAMM    13.7N 120.3W   14.6N 122.7W   14.4N 124.2W   14.3N 122.4W
LBAR    14.3N 120.1W   16.3N 121.9W   18.9N 122.1W   22.5N 120.3W
SHIP        52KTS          54KTS          49KTS          50KTS
DSHP        52KTS          54KTS          49KTS          50KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.8N LONCUR = 113.9W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  11.7N LONM12 = 112.6W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  11.5N LONM24 = 110.9W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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