000
WHXX01 KMIA 050650
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0650 UTC WED OCT 5 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972011) 20111005 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111005  0600   111005  1800   111006  0600   111006  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.8N 113.8W   12.0N 115.3W   12.2N 116.8W   12.4N 118.3W
BAMD    11.8N 113.8W   12.1N 115.4W   12.4N 117.1W   12.7N 118.9W
BAMM    11.8N 113.8W   12.0N 115.3W   12.3N 116.9W   12.6N 118.5W
LBAR    11.8N 113.8W   12.2N 115.5W   12.9N 117.5W   13.5N 119.2W
SHIP        25KTS          29KTS          37KTS          47KTS
DSHP        25KTS          29KTS          37KTS          47KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111007  0600   111008  0600   111009  0600   111010  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.8N 119.8W   13.3N 122.2W   13.0N 122.7W   13.9N 118.2W
BAMD    13.4N 120.7W   14.6N 123.8W   14.1N 126.4W   12.6N 126.8W
BAMM    13.2N 120.2W   14.1N 122.7W   13.6N 124.4W   13.3N 122.1W
LBAR    14.5N 120.9W   16.3N 123.1W   18.4N 123.7W   21.6N 122.8W
SHIP        55KTS          61KTS          55KTS          59KTS
DSHP        55KTS          61KTS          55KTS          59KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.8N LONCUR = 113.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  11.6N LONM12 = 111.7W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  11.3N LONM24 = 108.8W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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