000
WTNT80 EGRR 031800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.10.2011

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 25.2N  55.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.10.2011  25.2N  55.3W     WEAK  LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2011  25.2N  57.3W     WEAK  LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2011  25.4N  59.5W     WEAK  LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2011  26.6N  60.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 27.6N  33.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.10.2011  27.6N  33.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.10.2011  30.5N  31.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2011  32.0N  36.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 031706