000 WTNT80 EGRR 030600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.10.2011 HURRICANE OPHELIA ANALYSED POSITION : 42.6N 59.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.10.2011 42.6N 59.7W INTENSE 12UTC 03.10.2011 46.7N 55.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 04.10.2011 EXTRA-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ANALYSED POSITION : 26.2N 53.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.10.2011 26.2N 53.4W WEAK 12UTC 03.10.2011 25.8N 55.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2011 26.0N 57.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.10.2011 26.6N 59.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2011 27.5N 60.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2011 28.2N 59.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2011 29.6N 57.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2011 31.4N 53.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2011 32.4N 50.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2011 33.6N 48.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2011 38.4N 43.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2011 EXTRA-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.4N 115.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.10.2011 13.4N 115.5W WEAK 12UTC 06.10.2011 13.7N 117.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2011 14.2N 118.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.10.2011 15.5N 118.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2011 16.6N 120.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2011 16.7N 120.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2011 16.5N 121.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 030438