000
WTNT80 EGRR 300600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.09.2011

        TROPICAL STORM HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 21.7N 120.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.7N 120.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 30.09.2011  22.4N 121.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2011  22.9N 122.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  22.9N 123.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2011  22.6N 125.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N  62.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.3N  62.4W   MODERATE
 12UTC 30.09.2011  23.1N  63.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2011  25.4N  63.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2011  28.0N  63.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011  31.2N  63.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2011  35.2N  62.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011  40.0N  61.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2011  44.9N  58.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.10.2011   EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 20.6N  44.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.09.2011  20.6N  44.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.09.2011  21.9N  45.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  23.1N  48.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  23.8N  49.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2011  24.8N  51.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2011  25.7N  53.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011  26.6N  55.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2011  27.3N  57.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.10.2011  27.4N  58.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2011  28.5N  60.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2011  30.6N  60.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2011  32.7N  57.8W    WEAK   LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2011  37.5N  52.9W     WEAK   LITTLE CHANGE

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 300440