000
WTNT80 EGRR 290600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.09.2011

       TROPICAL STORM HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 119.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.09.2011  19.3N 119.1W   MODERATE
 12UTC 29.09.2011  20.5N 120.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.9N 120.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  23.4N 121.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  24.0N 122.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2011  24.0N 123.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011  23.8N 123.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.10.2011  23.3N 124.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 19.1N  60.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.09.2011  19.1N  60.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 29.09.2011  20.2N  61.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.8N  62.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  23.4N  63.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  25.5N  64.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2011  28.1N  64.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N  40.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.09.2011  17.3N  40.2W   MODERATE
 12UTC 29.09.2011  18.2N  42.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2011  19.4N  44.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  20.5N  46.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  21.4N  49.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  22.3N  51.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011  23.3N  54.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2011  24.4N  56.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011  25.4N  58.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2011  26.6N  60.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.10.2011  28.0N  61.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2011  29.2N  62.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2011  30.7N  60.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 290437