000
WTNT80 EGRR 281800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.09.2011

             HURRICANE HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 17.9N 118.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.09.2011  17.9N 118.2W    STRONG
 00UTC 29.09.2011  18.9N 119.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  20.2N 119.7W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.4N 120.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  22.6N 121.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  23.1N 122.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  23.1N 122.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011  22.9N 123.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2011  22.6N 125.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.4N  59.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.09.2011  18.4N  59.9W   MODERATE
 00UTC 29.09.2011  19.3N  60.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  20.3N  61.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.9N  61.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  23.6N  62.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  25.9N  63.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  28.7N  63.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2011  32.2N  62.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.10.2011  37.1N  60.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011  43.2N  57.4W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 03.10.2011   EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N  38.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.09.2011  16.2N  38.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.09.2011  17.0N  39.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2011  18.2N  41.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2011  19.8N  43.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  20.9N  45.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  22.2N  48.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  23.2N  50.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2011  24.4N  52.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2011  25.7N  54.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 281630