000
WHXX01 KMIA 280624
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0624 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110928 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110928  0600   110928  1800   110929  0600   110929  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.5N 117.8W   19.0N 119.2W   19.8N 120.2W   20.6N 120.9W
BAMD    17.5N 117.8W   18.6N 118.5W   20.3N 118.3W   22.5N 117.6W
BAMM    17.5N 117.8W   18.5N 118.9W   19.5N 119.3W   20.9N 119.4W
LBAR    17.5N 117.8W   18.5N 118.3W   19.8N 118.6W   21.2N 118.5W
SHIP        80KTS          71KTS          61KTS          49KTS
DSHP        80KTS          71KTS          61KTS          49KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110930  0600   111001  0600   111002  0600   111003  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.3N 121.4W   22.1N 122.7W   22.3N 124.0W   22.4N 124.8W
BAMD    25.1N 116.9W   29.6N 116.7W   33.6N 116.1W   39.2N 111.2W
BAMM    22.5N 119.5W   24.5N 120.7W   25.2N 121.6W   26.3N 119.2W
LBAR    22.7N 117.9W   25.4N 115.9W   27.9N 113.6W   29.6N 111.7W
SHIP        34KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        34KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.5N LONCUR = 117.8W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  16.9N LONM12 = 116.9W DIRM12 = 298DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  16.6N LONM24 = 115.3W
WNDCUR =   80KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   95KT
CENPRS =  975MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  225NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  105NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   70NM RD34NW = 100NM
 
$$
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