000
WHXX01 KMIA 271853
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1853 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110927 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110927  1800   110928  0600   110928  1800   110929  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.9N 116.9W   18.0N 118.8W   18.6N 120.3W   18.7N 120.9W
BAMD    16.9N 116.9W   17.5N 118.1W   18.2N 118.9W   19.4N 119.0W
BAMM    16.9N 116.9W   17.7N 118.5W   18.3N 119.6W   18.8N 120.1W
LBAR    16.9N 116.9W   17.7N 118.0W   18.8N 118.7W   19.9N 118.9W
SHIP        95KTS          86KTS          75KTS          64KTS
DSHP        95KTS          86KTS          75KTS          64KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110929  1800   110930  1800   111001  1800   111002  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.7N 121.2W   18.5N 120.3W   19.7N 118.4W   21.6N 118.3W
BAMD    21.2N 118.4W   24.6N 117.9W   26.8N 118.5W   29.5N 116.9W
BAMM    19.6N 120.1W   21.1N 119.6W   21.7N 119.9W   21.5N 120.0W
LBAR    21.3N 118.6W   24.3N 116.7W   27.4N 114.4W   30.0N 111.8W
SHIP        52KTS          26KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        52KTS          26KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.9N LONCUR = 116.9W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  16.6N LONM12 = 115.3W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  16.6N LONM24 = 113.6W
WNDCUR =   95KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =  105KT
CENPRS =  964MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  260NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  105NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   70NM RD34NW = 100NM
 
$$
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