000
WTNT80 EGRR 271800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 27.09.2011

             HURRICANE HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.7N 116.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.09.2011  16.7N 116.2W    STRONG
 00UTC 28.09.2011  16.8N 117.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2011  17.5N 118.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2011  18.6N 119.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  19.9N 120.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.2N 121.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  22.1N 121.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2011  23.0N 122.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  19.2N 122.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N  60.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.09.2011  18.1N  60.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.09.2011  18.5N  60.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2011  19.8N  60.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2011  20.5N  61.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  21.2N  62.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2011  22.4N  62.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  23.6N  63.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  25.6N  63.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2011  27.7N  63.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011  30.5N  62.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2011  34.1N  62.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 03.10.2011  39.1N  60.0W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2011  45.1N  56.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N  35.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.09.2011  15.6N  35.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.09.2011  16.1N  36.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2011  16.8N  37.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2011  18.1N  39.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  19.3N  41.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2011  20.8N  43.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2011  21.9N  45.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  23.0N  47.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 271639