000
WHXX01 KMIA 271241
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1241 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110927 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110927  1200   110928  0000   110928  1200   110929  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.7N 116.2W   17.6N 118.0W   18.1N 119.6W   18.5N 120.2W
BAMD    16.7N 116.2W   17.0N 117.4W   17.3N 118.1W   18.0N 118.5W
BAMM    16.7N 116.2W   17.3N 117.7W   17.6N 118.6W   18.1N 118.9W
LBAR    16.7N 116.2W   17.1N 117.7W   18.1N 118.7W   19.1N 119.3W
SHIP       100KTS          92KTS          83KTS          77KTS
DSHP       100KTS          92KTS          83KTS          77KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110929  1200   110930  1200   111001  1200   111002  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.4N 120.3W   18.4N 118.7W   20.3N 116.5W   23.6N 115.8W
BAMD    19.2N 118.2W   22.9N 116.9W   26.0N 117.5W   29.0N 117.0W
BAMM    18.7N 118.5W   21.0N 116.7W   24.2N 116.7W   27.0N 117.0W
LBAR    20.3N 119.2W   23.1N 117.8W   26.2N 115.6W   29.4N 113.0W
SHIP        63KTS          41KTS          17KTS           0KTS
DSHP        63KTS          41KTS          17KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.7N LONCUR = 116.2W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  16.7N LONM12 = 114.4W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  16.8N LONM24 = 112.7W
WNDCUR =  100KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =  110KT
CENPRS =  961MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  205NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  105NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   70NM RD34NW = 100NM
 
$$
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