000
WTNT80 EGRR 261800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 26.09.2011

             HURRICANE HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N 112.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.09.2011  16.5N 112.6W    STRONG
 00UTC 27.09.2011  16.8N 114.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.09.2011  16.8N 116.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.09.2011  17.2N 117.9W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.09.2011  18.1N 119.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2011  19.5N 120.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  20.9N 120.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2011  22.2N 120.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  23.6N 121.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2011  24.5N 121.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2011  25.2N 122.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N  58.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.09.2011  17.7N  58.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.09.2011  18.8N  57.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2011  18.8N  61.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2011  19.3N  60.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.09.2011  20.0N  61.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2011  20.0N  61.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  20.4N  62.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2011  21.0N  62.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2011  21.8N  64.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2011  22.7N  64.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  24.9N  65.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011  26.8N  65.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2011  29.9N  64.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 15.1N  34.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.09.2011  15.1N  34.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 27.09.2011  16.2N  35.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2011  16.7N  36.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.09.2011  17.3N  37.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.09.2011  18.1N  38.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2011  19.6N  40.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2011  21.1N  41.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2011  22.6N  42.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2011  23.6N  42.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2011  24.5N  43.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2011  25.0N  44.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2011  25.0N  46.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2011  25.3N  48.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 261704