000
WHXX01 KMIA 251822
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1822 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110925 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110925  1800   110926  0600   110926  1800   110927  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.1N 109.9W   17.1N 111.6W   17.5N 113.0W   18.2N 114.2W
BAMD    17.1N 109.9W   17.2N 111.7W   17.3N 113.3W   17.5N 114.6W
BAMM    17.1N 109.9W   17.1N 111.6W   17.2N 113.1W   17.6N 114.2W
LBAR    17.1N 109.9W   17.4N 111.4W   18.0N 113.2W   18.6N 115.1W
SHIP       110KTS         100KTS          96KTS          88KTS
DSHP       110KTS         100KTS          96KTS          88KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110927  1800   110928  1800   110929  1800   110930  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.1N 115.6W   20.2N 117.6W   21.0N 117.3W   22.9N 116.4W
BAMD    17.9N 115.6W   19.8N 115.1W   24.4N 112.7W   29.3N 114.9W
BAMM    18.5N 114.9W   21.2N 114.5W   24.7N 113.9W   27.8N 116.2W
LBAR    19.3N 116.4W   21.4N 117.0W   24.6N 115.1W   28.2N 113.0W
SHIP        92KTS          82KTS          71KTS          49KTS
DSHP        92KTS          82KTS          71KTS          49KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.1N LONCUR = 109.9W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  16.9N LONM12 = 108.0W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  16.7N LONM24 = 106.3W
WNDCUR =  110KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =  110KT
CENPRS =  953MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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