000
WHXX01 KMIA 251218
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1218 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110925 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110925  1200   110926  0000   110926  1200   110927  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.2N 108.8W   17.5N 110.6W   17.9N 112.2W   18.6N 114.0W
BAMD    17.2N 108.8W   17.5N 110.7W   17.8N 112.5W   18.2N 114.1W
BAMM    17.2N 108.8W   17.6N 110.7W   18.0N 112.5W   18.5N 114.2W
LBAR    17.2N 108.8W   17.7N 110.3W   18.4N 112.2W   18.9N 114.0W
SHIP       110KTS         104KTS         104KTS          99KTS
DSHP       110KTS         104KTS         104KTS          99KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110927  1200   110928  1200   110929  1200   110930  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.1N 115.9W   19.4N 118.8W   19.3N 118.0W   21.7N 115.4W
BAMD    18.6N 115.5W   19.5N 117.0W   22.8N 115.6W   26.7N 116.6W
BAMM    19.1N 115.6W   20.2N 117.1W   22.5N 116.1W   25.4N 116.3W
LBAR    19.8N 115.5W   21.9N 116.6W   25.1N 114.6W   28.8N 112.0W
SHIP       102KTS          92KTS          75KTS          55KTS
DSHP       102KTS          92KTS          75KTS          55KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.2N LONCUR = 108.8W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  17.0N LONM12 = 107.3W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  16.8N LONM24 = 105.7W
WNDCUR =  110KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =  115KT
CENPRS =  953MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD =  165NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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