000
WHXX01 KMIA 241238
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1238 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110924 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110924  1200   110925  0000   110925  1200   110926  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.8N 105.9W   17.0N 106.8W   17.5N 107.9W   18.0N 109.1W
BAMD    16.8N 105.9W   17.0N 106.9W   17.3N 107.8W   17.8N 108.8W
BAMM    16.8N 105.9W   17.0N 106.9W   17.2N 108.0W   17.7N 109.1W
LBAR    16.8N 105.9W   17.0N 107.5W   17.5N 109.3W   17.8N 111.2W
SHIP       120KTS         117KTS         112KTS         115KTS
DSHP       120KTS         117KTS         112KTS         115KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110926  1200   110927  1200   110928  1200   110929  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.7N 110.7W   19.5N 114.2W   19.4N 116.7W   19.9N 117.8W
BAMD    18.4N 110.0W   19.5N 111.7W   21.2N 112.5W   24.0N 112.0W
BAMM    18.2N 110.3W   19.0N 112.3W   20.3N 113.9W   22.0N 114.7W
LBAR    18.4N 113.0W   19.5N 116.6W   20.2N 118.9W   22.2N 118.8W
SHIP       114KTS         106KTS          93KTS          78KTS
DSHP       114KTS         106KTS          93KTS          78KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.8N LONCUR = 105.9W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  16.6N LONM12 = 103.6W DIRM12 = 290DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  16.0N LONM24 = 102.1W
WNDCUR =  120KT RMAXWD =   10NM WNDM12 =  125KT
CENPRS =  946MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  125NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   75NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   60NM RD34NW =  75NM
 
$$
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