000
WHXX01 KMIA 231242
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1242 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110923 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110923  1200   110924  0000   110924  1200   110925  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.0N 102.1W   16.4N 103.3W   16.9N 104.6W   17.6N 105.9W
BAMD    16.0N 102.1W   16.3N 103.3W   16.8N 104.6W   17.6N 105.8W
BAMM    16.0N 102.1W   16.1N 103.5W   16.4N 105.0W   16.9N 106.3W
LBAR    16.0N 102.1W   16.3N 103.7W   16.7N 105.4W   17.0N 107.0W
SHIP       125KTS         131KTS         133KTS         133KTS
DSHP       125KTS         131KTS         133KTS         133KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110925  1200   110926  1200   110927  1200   110928  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.5N 107.3W   20.5N 110.7W   21.5N 114.6W   20.8N 116.6W
BAMD    18.7N 107.0W   21.6N 109.1W   25.4N 108.3W   28.3N 104.7W
BAMM    17.6N 107.5W   19.9N 109.9W   22.1N 112.3W   23.3N 113.7W
LBAR    17.5N 108.4W   18.9N 111.5W   20.5N 114.0W   23.6N 114.2W
SHIP       130KTS         120KTS         106KTS          96KTS
DSHP       130KTS         120KTS         106KTS          96KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.0N LONCUR = 102.1W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  15.9N LONM12 = 100.4W DIRM12 = 288DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  14.9N LONM24 =  98.6W
WNDCUR =  125KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =  110KT
CENPRS =  944MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   75NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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