000
WHXX01 KMIA 221825
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1825 UTC THU SEP 22 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110922 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110922  1800   110923  0600   110923  1800   110924  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.4N  99.4W   15.7N 100.4W   15.7N 101.4W   15.7N 102.4W
BAMD    15.4N  99.4W   15.8N 100.6W   16.2N 101.7W   16.5N 102.8W
BAMM    15.4N  99.4W   15.7N 100.6W   15.7N 101.8W   15.7N 103.0W
LBAR    15.4N  99.4W   16.1N 100.8W   16.8N 102.4W   17.3N 104.1W
SHIP        90KTS         106KTS         111KTS         110KTS
DSHP        90KTS         106KTS         111KTS         110KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110924  1800   110925  1800   110926  1800   110927  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.9N 103.8W   17.1N 107.7W   18.0N 112.5W   17.6N 117.5W
BAMD    16.8N 104.0W   17.7N 107.1W   19.5N 110.6W   21.7N 112.6W
BAMM    15.7N 104.4W   16.2N 108.0W   17.0N 112.3W   17.8N 116.4W
LBAR    17.6N 105.6W   18.4N 108.6W   19.2N 112.3W   20.1N 115.5W
SHIP       109KTS         105KTS         102KTS          96KTS
DSHP       109KTS         105KTS         102KTS          96KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.4N LONCUR =  99.4W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  14.5N LONM12 =  97.7W DIRM12 = 293DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  13.9N LONM24 =  96.4W
WNDCUR =   90KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   55KT
CENPRS =  973MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  160NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   70NM RD34SE =   55NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  65NM
 
$$
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