000
WHXX01 KMIA 221227
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1227 UTC THU SEP 22 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110922 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110922  1200   110923  0000   110923  1200   110924  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.9N  98.6W   15.2N  99.6W   15.4N 100.4W   15.5N 101.5W
BAMD    14.9N  98.6W   15.4N  99.6W   15.7N 100.7W   16.0N 101.7W
BAMM    14.9N  98.6W   15.4N  99.5W   15.5N 100.6W   15.7N 101.7W
LBAR    14.9N  98.6W   15.6N 100.1W   16.5N 101.8W   17.1N 103.6W
SHIP        65KTS          77KTS          85KTS          90KTS
DSHP        65KTS          77KTS          85KTS          90KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110924  1200   110925  1200   110926  1200   110927  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.5N 102.8W   16.3N 106.0W   17.3N 109.3W   17.9N 112.2W
BAMD    16.2N 102.8W   17.4N 105.2W   19.2N 107.2W   21.7N 107.0W
BAMM    15.7N 103.1W   16.3N 106.0W   17.1N 109.1W   17.8N 112.0W
LBAR    17.5N 105.1W   18.1N 107.8W   18.8N 110.6W   19.7N 112.9W
SHIP        94KTS          94KTS          90KTS          86KTS
DSHP        94KTS          94KTS          90KTS          86KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.9N LONCUR =  98.6W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  14.2N LONM12 =  96.9W DIRM12 = 296DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  13.7N LONM24 =  96.0W
WNDCUR =   65KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS =  994MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  160NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   65NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =   35NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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