000
WHXX01 KMIA 220635
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0635 UTC THU SEP 22 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110922 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110922  0600   110922  1800   110923  0600   110923  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.5N  97.7W   14.8N  98.7W   15.1N  99.6W   15.2N 100.6W
BAMD    14.5N  97.7W   14.9N  98.8W   15.3N  99.9W   15.5N 101.0W
BAMM    14.5N  97.7W   14.9N  98.7W   15.2N  99.7W   15.4N 100.9W
LBAR    14.5N  97.7W   15.1N  98.9W   16.0N 100.5W   16.6N 102.4W
SHIP        55KTS          66KTS          73KTS          81KTS
DSHP        55KTS          66KTS          73KTS          81KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110924  0600   110925  0600   110926  0600   110927  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.4N 101.7W   16.4N 105.2W   17.9N 109.4W   18.0N 114.0W
BAMD    16.0N 102.2W   17.3N 104.8W   19.0N 107.4W   21.1N 108.5W
BAMM    15.6N 102.3W   16.4N 105.7W   17.3N 109.6W   17.6N 113.9W
LBAR    17.0N 104.1W   17.7N 107.3W   18.3N 110.6W   18.3N 114.0W
SHIP        85KTS          89KTS          88KTS          87KTS
DSHP        85KTS          89KTS          88KTS          87KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.5N LONCUR =  97.7W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  13.9N LONM12 =  96.4W DIRM12 = 300DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  13.4N LONM24 =  95.6W
WNDCUR =   55KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS =  994MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  160NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   75NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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