000
WHXX01 KMIA 211827
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1827 UTC WED SEP 21 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE HILARY (EP092011) 20110921 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110921  1800   110922  0600   110922  1800   110923  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.9N  96.4W   14.5N  97.3W   14.9N  98.4W   15.6N  99.3W
BAMD    13.9N  96.4W   14.3N  97.5W   14.8N  98.6W   15.4N  99.7W
BAMM    13.9N  96.4W   14.5N  97.4W   15.1N  98.4W   15.8N  99.4W
LBAR    13.9N  96.4W   14.5N  97.3W   15.3N  98.9W   16.1N 100.7W
SHIP        40KTS          49KTS          56KTS          60KTS
DSHP        40KTS          49KTS          56KTS          60KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110923  1800   110924  1800   110925  1800   110926  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.1N 100.3W   17.0N 103.5W   18.7N 107.7W   20.0N 112.4W
BAMD    15.9N 100.8W   17.1N 103.7W   18.8N 106.8W   20.6N 109.4W
BAMM    16.3N 100.7W   17.4N 104.0W   18.7N 108.3W   19.5N 113.0W
LBAR    16.6N 102.4W   17.5N 106.0W   17.8N 109.7W   17.3N 113.8W
SHIP        67KTS          75KTS          83KTS          86KTS
DSHP        67KTS          75KTS          83KTS          86KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.9N LONCUR =  96.4W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  13.4N LONM12 =  95.6W DIRM12 = 306DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  13.0N LONM24 =  94.8W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  225NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   45NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  35NM
 
$$
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