000
WHXX01 KWBC 191246
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1246 UTC MON SEP 19 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992011) 20110919 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110919  1200   110920  0000   110920  1200   110921  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.6N  48.3W   17.9N  50.4W   18.2N  53.0W   18.8N  55.7W
BAMD    17.6N  48.3W   17.2N  49.3W   17.0N  50.6W   16.9N  52.2W
BAMM    17.6N  48.3W   17.3N  49.9W   17.2N  51.9W   17.2N  54.2W
LBAR    17.6N  48.3W   17.9N  49.7W   18.2N  51.3W   18.7N  53.1W
SHIP        25KTS          25KTS          26KTS          27KTS
DSHP        25KTS          25KTS          26KTS          27KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110921  1200   110922  1200   110923  1200   110924  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.2N  58.6W   20.5N  64.9W   22.4N  71.0W   24.7N  75.0W
BAMD    16.7N  54.1W   16.4N  58.6W   16.0N  63.3W   15.8N  66.9W
BAMM    17.3N  56.7W   17.7N  62.3W   18.6N  68.0W   19.7N  72.4W
LBAR    19.2N  55.0W   20.4N  59.5W   22.0N  64.4W   24.8N  67.1W
SHIP        29KTS          29KTS          29KTS          35KTS
DSHP        29KTS          29KTS          29KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.6N LONCUR =  48.3W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  16.9N LONM12 =  45.9W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  17.3N LONM24 =  43.9W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  100NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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