000
WHXX01 KWBC 171822
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1822 UTC SAT SEP 17 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972011) 20110917 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110917  1800   110918  0600   110918  1800   110919  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.4N  20.5W   10.5N  22.7W   10.4N  25.7W   10.9N  29.1W
BAMD    10.4N  20.5W   10.7N  22.4W   11.0N  24.6W   11.4N  26.9W
BAMM    10.4N  20.5W   10.7N  22.6W   11.0N  25.3W   11.5N  28.3W
LBAR    10.4N  20.5W   10.5N  22.6W   10.7N  25.1W   11.0N  28.0W
SHIP        20KTS          23KTS          26KTS          29KTS
DSHP        20KTS          23KTS          26KTS          29KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110919  1800   110920  1800   110921  1800   110922  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.7N  32.8W   13.8N  41.7W   14.4N  50.9W   13.6N  59.5W
BAMD    12.3N  29.4W   14.7N  34.5W   17.1N  38.6W   18.8N  40.4W
BAMM    12.6N  31.6W   15.4N  38.7W   17.5N  45.3W   18.1N  51.7W
LBAR    11.6N  30.9W   13.7N  37.2W   16.3N  43.4W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        31KTS          28KTS          17KTS           0KTS
DSHP        31KTS          28KTS          17KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  10.4N LONCUR =  20.5W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  10.2N LONM12 =  19.2W DIRM12 = 278DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  10.0N LONM24 =  17.5W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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