000
WTNT80 EGRR 161800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.09.2011

             HURRICANE MARIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 43.3N  58.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.09.2011  43.3N  58.5W    STRONG
 00UTC 17.09.2011  46.6N  54.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2011  EXTRA-TROPICAL


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.0N  37.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.09.2011  13.0N  37.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.09.2011  13.7N  39.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.09.2011  13.4N  41.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2011  14.3N  43.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2011  15.0N  46.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2011  16.0N  49.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2011  15.8N  52.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.09.2011  16.9N  56.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161642