000
WTNT80 EGRR 020600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.09.2011

        TROPICAL STORM KATIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N  50.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2011  16.5N  50.1W    STRONG
 12UTC 02.09.2011  17.2N  52.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 03.09.2011  17.9N  54.3W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2011  18.6N  56.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2011  19.3N  57.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2011  19.6N  58.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2011  20.3N  60.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2011  20.5N  62.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2011  21.1N  63.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2011  21.7N  65.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.09.2011  21.7N  67.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.09.2011  22.1N  69.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2011  21.9N  71.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13L        ANALYSED POSITION : 26.6N  92.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2011  26.6N  92.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.09.2011  26.8N  91.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2011  27.3N  92.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2011  27.9N  92.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2011  28.0N  92.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2011  28.9N  91.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.09.2011  29.4N  91.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2011  30.0N  90.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2011  31.0N  88.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2011  32.5N  88.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 07.09.2011  32.3N  88.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.09.2011  32.7N  86.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.09.2011  36.0N  83.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 19.5N 107.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2011  19.5N 107.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.09.2011  19.7N 107.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2011  19.9N 108.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2011  20.7N 108.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2011  21.2N 108.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2011  21.5N 108.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2011  21.7N 108.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH



 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020451