000
WHXX01 KWBC 202051
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2051 UTC SAT AUG 20 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972011) 20110820 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110820  1800   110821  0600   110821  1800   110822  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.6N  57.2W   15.1N  60.9W   15.9N  64.2W   16.5N  67.2W
BAMD    14.6N  57.2W   15.3N  60.3W   16.1N  63.1W   16.8N  65.7W
BAMM    14.6N  57.2W   15.2N  60.5W   16.0N  63.5W   16.8N  66.2W
LBAR    14.6N  57.2W   15.1N  60.7W   15.7N  64.1W   16.2N  67.5W
SHIP        45KTS          55KTS          66KTS          77KTS
DSHP        45KTS          55KTS          66KTS          77KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110822  1800   110823  1800   110824  1800   110825  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.4N  70.1W   18.8N  74.4W   20.2N  77.6W   22.9N  79.7W
BAMD    17.5N  68.1W   19.1N  71.9W   21.4N  75.2W   24.9N  78.9W
BAMM    17.6N  68.8W   19.3N  72.9W   21.2N  76.5W   23.8N  79.8W
LBAR    16.6N  70.6W   17.7N  75.6W   20.4N  78.5W   23.8N  80.2W
SHIP        88KTS         103KTS         109KTS         105KTS
DSHP        88KTS          92KTS          51KTS          47KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.6N LONCUR =  57.2W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  19KT
LATM12 =  14.1N LONM12 =  52.8W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 =  18KT
LATM24 =  13.7N LONM24 =  49.3W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  105NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  45NM
 
$$
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