000
WTNT80 EGRR 201800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 20.08.2011

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERNANDA   ANALYSED POSITION : 15.4N 148.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.08.2011  15.4N 148.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.08.2011  15.4N 151.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2011  15.5N 153.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM GREG       ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 119.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.08.2011  19.5N 119.5W    STRONG
 00UTC 21.08.2011  19.4N 121.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2011  18.9N 122.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2011  18.5N 124.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2011  18.4N 125.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2011  17.7N 126.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2011  17.0N 127.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM HARVEY     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N  87.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.08.2011  16.9N  87.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 21.08.2011  17.8N  88.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2011  18.7N  91.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 22.08.2011  19.3N  93.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2011  19.9N  95.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2011  19.8N  96.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 14.5N  63.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.08.2011  14.5N  63.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.08.2011  15.5N  65.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2011  16.0N  69.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2011  16.8N  70.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2011  17.6N  74.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2011  18.8N  76.5W   MODERATE     LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2011  19.4N  78.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.08.2011  20.2N  81.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.08.2011  21.3N  82.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.08.2011  22.4N  85.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2011  23.8N  86.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 201718