000
WHXX01 KWBC 191257
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1257 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972011) 20110819 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110819  1200   110820  0000   110820  1200   110821  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.5N  47.3W   13.9N  50.2W   14.5N  53.4W   15.6N  56.6W
BAMD    13.5N  47.3W   14.0N  50.5W   14.6N  53.6W   15.3N  56.7W
BAMM    13.5N  47.3W   14.0N  50.4W   14.6N  53.5W   15.6N  56.7W
LBAR    13.5N  47.3W   14.1N  50.8W   14.8N  54.4W   15.7N  57.9W
SHIP        25KTS          29KTS          37KTS          48KTS
DSHP        25KTS          29KTS          37KTS          48KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110821  1200   110822  1200   110823  1200   110824  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.7N  59.9W   18.7N  66.5W   20.3N  73.3W   20.5N  79.4W
BAMD    16.1N  59.7W   17.5N  64.9W   19.0N  69.4W   20.9N  73.5W
BAMM    16.6N  59.9W   18.3N  66.1W   19.4N  72.4W   19.5N  77.3W
LBAR    16.4N  61.4W   17.3N  67.4W   17.2N  71.7W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        61KTS          83KTS          95KTS          97KTS
DSHP        61KTS          71KTS          46KTS          51KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.5N LONCUR =  47.3W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  19KT
LATM12 =  13.2N LONM12 =  43.5W DIRM12 = 272DEG SPDM12 =  20KT
LATM24 =  13.2N LONM24 =  39.2W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   90NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  190NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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