000
WHXX01 KWBC 190646
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0646 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972011) 20110819 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110819  0600   110819  1800   110820  0600   110820  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.5N  44.2W   13.9N  47.6W   14.6N  51.2W   15.5N  54.9W
BAMD    13.5N  44.2W   14.2N  47.3W   14.9N  50.4W   15.8N  53.5W
BAMM    13.5N  44.2W   14.1N  47.5W   14.8N  50.9W   15.9N  54.4W
LBAR    13.5N  44.2W   13.9N  47.6W   14.5N  51.1W   15.4N  54.7W
SHIP        25KTS          28KTS          35KTS          44KTS
DSHP        25KTS          28KTS          35KTS          44KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110821  0600   110822  0600   110823  0600   110824  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.4N  58.7W   17.9N  65.9W   18.7N  72.5W   18.2N  77.5W
BAMD    16.6N  56.5W   18.2N  61.6W   19.6N  65.6W   21.4N  69.0W
BAMM    16.7N  57.9W   18.2N  64.7W   18.8N  71.1W   18.5N  75.8W
LBAR    16.1N  58.1W   17.4N  64.5W   17.1N  69.8W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        55KTS          73KTS          85KTS          89KTS
DSHP        55KTS          73KTS          53KTS          48KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.5N LONCUR =  44.2W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  19KT
LATM12 =  13.6N LONM12 =  40.0W DIRM12 = 272DEG SPDM12 =  18KT
LATM24 =  13.3N LONM24 =  36.8W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =  120NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  240NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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