000
WHXX01 KWBC 190051
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0051 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932011) 20110819 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110819  0000   110819  1200   110820  0000   110820  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.4N  81.5W   15.6N  83.1W   15.8N  84.8W   16.2N  86.6W
BAMD    15.4N  81.5W   15.5N  83.5W   15.5N  85.3W   15.5N  87.4W
BAMM    15.4N  81.5W   15.6N  83.2W   15.6N  84.8W   15.7N  86.6W
LBAR    15.4N  81.5W   15.6N  83.8W   16.1N  86.2W   16.6N  88.8W
SHIP        30KTS          38KTS          46KTS          54KTS
DSHP        30KTS          38KTS          36KTS          36KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110821  0000   110822  0000   110823  0000   110824  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.7N  88.5W   17.6N  93.0W   17.9N  97.4W   18.3N 100.8W
BAMD    15.5N  89.6W   15.3N  94.4W   15.1N  98.7W   15.3N 101.9W
BAMM    16.0N  88.7W   16.4N  93.5W   16.7N  98.0W   16.9N 101.4W
LBAR    17.3N  91.5W   18.9N  97.3W   20.7N 101.9W   21.5N 105.1W
SHIP        64KTS          80KTS          90KTS          98KTS
DSHP        45KTS          29KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.4N LONCUR =  81.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  15.3N LONM12 =  79.4W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  15.2N LONM24 =  76.6W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   80NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  140NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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