000
WHXX01 KWBC 181845
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1845 UTC THU AUG 18 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932011) 20110818 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110818  1800   110819  0600   110819  1800   110820  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.4N  80.4W   15.8N  82.2W   16.1N  83.9W   16.3N  85.6W
BAMD    15.4N  80.4W   15.6N  82.5W   15.6N  84.3W   15.5N  86.1W
BAMM    15.4N  80.4W   15.7N  82.2W   15.8N  83.8W   15.9N  85.5W
LBAR    15.4N  80.4W   15.5N  82.6W   16.0N  85.1W   16.5N  87.5W
SHIP        25KTS          31KTS          39KTS          50KTS
DSHP        25KTS          31KTS          39KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110820  1800   110821  1800   110822  1800   110823  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.8N  87.4W   17.6N  91.7W   18.0N  95.8W   18.2N  99.3W
BAMD    15.4N  88.2W   15.1N  92.7W   14.6N  97.0W   14.5N 100.5W
BAMM    16.1N  87.4W   16.5N  91.9W   16.7N  96.4W   16.8N 100.1W
LBAR    17.1N  90.3W   18.7N  96.0W   20.2N 100.9W   19.4N 104.1W
SHIP        60KTS          78KTS          89KTS          98KTS
DSHP        60KTS          35KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.4N LONCUR =  80.4W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  15.4N LONM12 =  78.0W DIRM12 = 272DEG SPDM12 =  14KT
LATM24 =  15.1N LONM24 =  74.9W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   80NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  140NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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