000
WTNT80 EGRR 180600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 18.08.2011

        TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA   ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 138.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.08.2011  12.3N 138.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 18.08.2011  13.0N 140.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2011  14.0N 141.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2011  14.7N 144.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2011  15.3N 146.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2011  15.8N 148.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2011  16.1N 151.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE GREG       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 107.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.08.2011  17.5N 107.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 18.08.2011  18.0N 111.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.08.2011  18.2N 114.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2011  18.1N 116.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2011  18.0N 119.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2011  17.7N 120.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2011  17.7N 122.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2011  17.7N 123.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2011  17.0N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2011  16.8N 126.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 14.7N  79.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2011  14.7N  79.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2011  15.7N  81.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2011  16.7N  83.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2011  17.0N  85.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2011  17.1N  87.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.8N  38.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2011  12.8N  38.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2011  12.4N  41.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2011  13.5N  46.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2011  13.6N  50.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2011  14.1N  54.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2011  15.0N  58.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2011  15.6N  62.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2011  16.5N  66.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2011  17.1N  67.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2011  18.9N  72.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2011  19.5N  73.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2011  20.9N  76.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 180453