000
WHXX01 KWBC 171832
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1832 UTC WED AUG 17 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932011) 20110817 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110817  1800   110818  0600   110818  1800   110819  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N  75.2W   15.1N  78.2W   15.4N  80.9W   15.2N  82.8W
BAMD    15.0N  75.2W   15.4N  78.0W   15.7N  80.6W   15.7N  82.8W
BAMM    15.0N  75.2W   15.2N  77.8W   15.3N  80.3W   15.4N  82.3W
LBAR    15.0N  75.2W   15.5N  78.4W   16.3N  81.4W   16.9N  84.2W
SHIP        25KTS          31KTS          39KTS          50KTS
DSHP        25KTS          31KTS          39KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110819  1800   110820  1800   110821  1800   110822  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N  84.7W   14.7N  88.5W   14.6N  92.5W   14.2N  96.4W
BAMD    15.7N  84.8W   15.2N  89.1W   14.6N  94.0W   13.8N  98.8W
BAMM    15.4N  84.2W   15.2N  88.3W   15.1N  92.9W   14.9N  97.6W
LBAR    17.7N  86.9W   19.3N  91.7W   20.9N  96.0W   21.6N 100.1W
SHIP        61KTS          79KTS          92KTS         102KTS
DSHP        51KTS          31KTS          31KTS          41KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.0N LONCUR =  75.2W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  19KT
LATM12 =  14.7N LONM12 =  71.3W DIRM12 = 278DEG SPDM12 =  19KT
LATM24 =  14.1N LONM24 =  67.4W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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