000
WHXX01 KWBC 170554
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0554 UTC WED AUG 17 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932011) 20110817 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110817  0600   110817  1800   110818  0600   110818  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.7N  71.3W   15.3N  74.4W   15.6N  77.3W   15.9N  80.2W
BAMD    14.7N  71.3W   15.1N  74.2W   15.4N  77.0W   15.6N  79.6W
BAMM    14.7N  71.3W   15.1N  74.1W   15.3N  76.7W   15.5N  79.2W
LBAR    14.7N  71.3W   15.4N  74.5W   16.1N  77.8W   16.9N  80.7W
SHIP        25KTS          29KTS          36KTS          46KTS
DSHP        25KTS          29KTS          36KTS          46KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110819  0600   110820  0600   110821  0600   110822  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.9N  82.2W   15.8N  85.9W   15.7N  90.0W   15.4N  94.3W
BAMD    15.7N  81.9W   15.6N  86.0W   15.3N  90.7W   14.7N  95.7W
BAMM    15.5N  81.4W   15.5N  85.2W   15.4N  89.7W   15.1N  94.3W
LBAR    17.7N  83.4W   19.5N  87.9W   21.3N  91.6W   22.9N  95.0W
SHIP        57KTS          77KTS          89KTS          97KTS
DSHP        57KTS          48KTS          31KTS          32KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.7N LONCUR =  71.3W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  19KT
LATM12 =  14.1N LONM12 =  67.4W DIRM12 = 279DEG SPDM12 =  20KT
LATM24 =  13.7N LONM24 =  63.4W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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