000
WHXX01 KWBC 161823
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1823 UTC TUE AUG 16 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932011) 20110816 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110816  1800   110817  0600   110817  1800   110818  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.1N  67.4W   14.8N  70.9W   15.7N  74.4W   16.1N  77.6W
BAMD    14.1N  67.4W   14.7N  70.5W   15.3N  73.4W   15.8N  76.0W
BAMM    14.1N  67.4W   14.6N  70.6W   15.1N  73.8W   15.5N  76.6W
LBAR    14.1N  67.4W   14.7N  71.0W   15.5N  74.5W   16.2N  78.0W
SHIP        25KTS          28KTS          34KTS          43KTS
DSHP        25KTS          28KTS          34KTS          43KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110818  1800   110819  1800   110820  1800   110821  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.4N  80.6W   16.4N  84.9W   16.1N  89.0W   16.3N  93.4W
BAMD    16.2N  78.5W   16.6N  82.8W   16.6N  87.2W   16.4N  92.2W
BAMM    15.8N  79.2W   16.0N  83.6W   15.8N  88.0W   15.5N  93.0W
LBAR    17.1N  81.1W   19.0N  86.1W   20.4N  89.8W   20.4N  93.9W
SHIP        52KTS          71KTS          87KTS          99KTS
DSHP        52KTS          71KTS          82KTS          34KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.1N LONCUR =  67.4W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  20KT
LATM12 =  13.7N LONM12 =  63.4W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 =  20KT
LATM24 =  13.6N LONM24 =  59.3W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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