000
WHXX01 KMIA 161315
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1315 UTC TUE AUG 16 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992011) 20110816 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110816  1200   110817  0000   110817  1200   110818  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.6N  98.2W   14.5N 100.1W   15.6N 102.5W   17.0N 105.0W
BAMD    13.6N  98.2W   14.3N 100.5W   15.0N 103.0W   15.8N 105.4W
BAMM    13.6N  98.2W   14.4N 100.5W   15.3N 103.2W   16.4N 105.9W
LBAR    13.6N  98.2W   14.5N 100.8W   15.5N 104.0W   16.5N 107.2W
SHIP        25KTS          30KTS          38KTS          52KTS
DSHP        25KTS          30KTS          38KTS          52KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110818  1200   110819  1200   110820  1200   110821  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.3N 107.7W   20.2N 113.4W   20.3N 119.9W   17.0N 124.7W
BAMD    16.7N 107.4W   18.4N 111.4W   20.3N 115.9W   21.9N 120.9W
BAMM    17.5N 108.7W   18.5N 114.0W   18.5N 119.0W   17.7N 121.7W
LBAR    17.5N 110.6W   18.8N 116.6W   19.0N 118.7W   19.2N 121.7W
SHIP        65KTS          79KTS          75KTS          69KTS
DSHP        65KTS          79KTS          75KTS          69KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.6N LONCUR =  98.2W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  12.6N LONM12 =  96.0W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 =  13KT
LATM24 =  11.6N LONM24 =  93.9W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =  120NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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