000
WHXX01 KWBC 161307
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1307 UTC TUE AUG 16 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932011) 20110816 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110816  1200   110817  0000   110817  1200   110818  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.8N  65.4W   14.6N  69.2W   15.3N  73.2W   16.2N  76.7W
BAMD    13.8N  65.4W   14.4N  68.6W   15.0N  71.5W   15.6N  74.4W
BAMM    13.8N  65.4W   14.3N  68.8W   14.8N  72.2W   15.4N  75.4W
LBAR    13.8N  65.4W   14.5N  69.1W   15.3N  72.7W   16.0N  76.1W
SHIP        25KTS          27KTS          32KTS          40KTS
DSHP        25KTS          27KTS          32KTS          40KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110818  1200   110819  1200   110820  1200   110821  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.3N  79.9W   16.2N  85.2W   15.8N  89.5W   15.7N  93.7W
BAMD    16.2N  77.0W   17.1N  81.8W   17.8N  86.0W   18.3N  90.6W
BAMM    15.8N  78.2W   16.2N  83.3W   16.4N  87.9W   16.3N  92.8W
LBAR    16.9N  79.2W   18.7N  84.1W   20.8N  87.8W   23.1N  92.0W
SHIP        50KTS          71KTS          86KTS          96KTS
DSHP        50KTS          71KTS          86KTS          34KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.8N LONCUR =  65.4W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  20KT
LATM12 =  13.6N LONM12 =  61.3W DIRM12 = 272DEG SPDM12 =  20KT
LATM24 =  13.5N LONM24 =  57.3W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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