000 WHXX01 KWBC 160627 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0627 UTC TUE AUG 16 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE GERT (AL072011) 20110816 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 110816 0600 110816 1800 110817 0600 110817 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 35.5N 61.1W 38.8N 57.9W 41.7N 53.2W 44.2N 47.1W BAMD 35.5N 61.1W 38.7N 59.3W 42.7N 55.3W 46.8N 47.7W BAMM 35.5N 61.1W 38.9N 58.5W 42.4N 54.0W 45.8N 46.9W LBAR 35.5N 61.1W 38.6N 58.6W 41.7N 55.0W 44.8N 49.7W SHIP 50KTS 47KTS 44KTS 41KTS DSHP 50KTS 47KTS 44KTS 41KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 110818 0600 110819 0600 110820 0600 110821 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 46.1N 39.9W 48.0N 24.5W 50.7N 11.9W 56.6N .3W BAMD 50.4N 36.9W 53.0N 15.9W 54.0N 1.1E 51.1N 15.5E BAMM 48.6N 37.4W 50.6N 18.9W 52.6N 4.4W 55.5N 9.2E LBAR 47.6N 42.1W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 38KTS 26KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 38KTS 26KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 35.5N LONCUR = 61.1W DIRCUR = 30DEG SPDCUR = 16KT LATM12 = 32.7N LONM12 = 62.9W DIRM12 = 21DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 30.6N LONM24 = 63.4W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 140NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 20NM RD34NW = 20NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KMIA 160627 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0627 UTC TUE AUG 16 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992011) 20110816 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 110816 0600 110816 1800 110817 0600 110817 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.0N 97.5W 14.9N 99.3W 15.8N 101.3W 17.0N 103.6W BAMD 14.0N 97.5W 14.8N 99.7W 15.5N 102.0W 16.2N 104.4W LBAR 14.0N 97.5W 15.2N 100.1W 16.4N 103.2W 17.6N 106.6W SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS 51KTS DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS 51KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 110818 0600 110819 0600 110820 0600 110821 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.2N 106.0W 20.7N 110.7W 22.8N 115.8W 23.7N 120.9W BAMD 17.1N 106.6W 18.9N 110.7W 21.0N 114.8W 23.1N 119.1W LBAR 18.6N 110.1W 20.2N 116.6W 19.6N 118.1W 19.6N 121.0W SHIP 64KTS 80KTS 76KTS 67KTS DSHP 64KTS 80KTS 76KTS 67KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.0N LONCUR = 97.5W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 14KT LATM12 = 12.0N LONM12 = 94.8W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 = 14KT LATM24 = 11.0N LONM24 = 92.9W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 120NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN