000
WHXX01 KWBC 151807
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1807 UTC MON AUG 15 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932011) 20110815 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110815  1800   110816  0600   110816  1800   110817  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.6N  59.2W   13.9N  62.5W   14.6N  66.2W   15.5N  69.9W
BAMD    13.6N  59.2W   13.9N  62.2W   14.4N  65.3W   15.1N  68.2W
BAMM    13.6N  59.2W   13.9N  62.3W   14.5N  65.5W   15.2N  68.7W
LBAR    13.6N  59.2W   14.0N  62.6W   14.4N  66.3W   15.1N  69.9W
SHIP        25KTS          32KTS          42KTS          51KTS
DSHP        25KTS          32KTS          42KTS          51KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110817  1800   110818  1800   110819  1800   110820  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.5N  73.6W   17.8N  80.2W   18.3N  85.3W   18.9N  89.8W
BAMD    15.8N  70.9W   17.2N  75.6W   18.3N  79.6W   19.2N  83.4W
BAMM    16.0N  71.8W   17.5N  77.2W   18.8N  81.8W   19.9N  86.3W
LBAR    15.9N  73.5W   16.9N  79.6W   15.4N  83.3W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        60KTS          73KTS          81KTS          87KTS
DSHP        60KTS          73KTS          81KTS          87KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.6N LONCUR =  59.2W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  19KT
LATM12 =  13.4N LONM12 =  55.1W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 =  21KT
LATM24 =  13.0N LONM24 =  50.6W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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