000
WHXX01 KWBC 151224
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1224 UTC MON AUG 15 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932011) 20110815 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110815  1200   110816  0000   110816  1200   110817  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.5N  56.4W   13.9N  59.6W   14.5N  63.3W   15.4N  67.0W
BAMD    13.5N  56.4W   14.0N  59.4W   14.4N  62.5W   15.0N  65.6W
BAMM    13.5N  56.4W   14.0N  59.6W   14.4N  63.0W   15.2N  66.4W
LBAR    13.5N  56.4W   13.9N  59.8W   14.4N  63.3W   14.9N  66.8W
SHIP        25KTS          29KTS          36KTS          45KTS
DSHP        25KTS          29KTS          36KTS          45KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110817  1200   110818  1200   110819  1200   110820  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.2N  71.0W   17.8N  78.1W   18.9N  83.8W   19.7N  88.4W
BAMD    15.7N  68.6W   17.0N  73.7W   18.1N  78.0W   18.9N  81.4W
BAMM    15.9N  69.8W   17.4N  75.9W   18.6N  80.9W   19.7N  85.2W
LBAR    15.7N  70.3W   16.8N  76.9W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        53KTS          68KTS          78KTS          82KTS
DSHP        53KTS          68KTS          75KTS          79KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.5N LONCUR =  56.4W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  17KT
LATM12 =  13.1N LONM12 =  52.8W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 =  20KT
LATM24 =  12.7N LONM24 =  48.1W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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