000
WHXX01 KWBC 051239
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1239 UTC FRI AUG 5 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE EMILY (AL052011) 20110805 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110805  1200   110806  0000   110806  1200   110807  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    22.0N  76.5W   23.6N  77.9W   25.0N  79.0W   26.4N  79.2W
BAMD    22.0N  76.5W   22.9N  78.0W   23.8N  79.4W   24.7N  80.6W
BAMM    22.0N  76.5W   23.1N  77.9W   24.1N  79.1W   25.2N  79.8W
LBAR    22.0N  76.5W   23.9N  78.1W   25.6N  79.4W   27.1N  80.1W
SHIP        25KTS          26KTS          29KTS          34KTS
DSHP        25KTS          26KTS          29KTS          34KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110807  1200   110808  1200   110809  1200   110810  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    27.4N  78.6W   29.5N  74.1W   32.6N  65.6W   32.6N  54.3W
BAMD    25.3N  81.3W   25.9N  82.0W   26.1N  82.1W   26.2N  82.3W
BAMM    25.8N  79.9W   26.5N  78.6W   27.7N  76.3W   29.7N  72.5W
LBAR    28.2N  79.8W   29.7N  77.4W   31.5N  73.5W   34.0N  67.2W
SHIP        38KTS          46KTS          60KTS          63KTS
DSHP        38KTS          46KTS          60KTS          63KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  22.0N LONCUR =  76.5W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR =  16KT
LATM12 =  20.0N LONM12 =  73.8W DIRM12 = 338DEG SPDM12 =  15KT
LATM24 =  17.2N LONM24 =  71.9W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD =  100NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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