000
WHXX01 KWBC 041831
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1831 UTC THU AUG 4 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE EMILY (AL052011) 20110804 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110804  1800   110805  0600   110805  1800   110806  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.0N  72.8W   19.7N  75.4W   21.4N  77.6W   22.7N  79.3W
BAMD    18.0N  72.8W   19.4N  74.4W   20.5N  76.0W   21.3N  77.7W
BAMM    18.0N  72.8W   19.4N  74.8W   20.7N  76.8W   21.7N  78.5W
LBAR    18.0N  72.8W   19.2N  74.4W   20.5N  76.1W   21.8N  77.9W
SHIP        30KTS          28KTS          29KTS          32KTS
DSHP        30KTS          25KTS          30KTS          33KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110806  1800   110807  1800   110808  1800   110809  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    24.2N  80.8W   26.5N  81.7W   27.9N  79.8W   29.3N  77.0W
BAMD    22.1N  79.5W   23.1N  82.8W   23.7N  85.4W   24.4N  87.2W
BAMM    22.8N  80.2W   24.5N  82.4W   25.3N  83.3W   26.0N  83.3W
LBAR    23.1N  79.5W   25.6N  81.3W   27.6N  80.8W   29.5N  77.9W
SHIP        36KTS          41KTS          46KTS          51KTS
DSHP        37KTS          42KTS          47KTS          52KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  18.0N LONCUR =  72.8W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  17.0N LONM12 =  71.2W DIRM12 = 288DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  16.8N LONM24 =  70.3W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN