000
WTNT80 EGRR 030600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.08.2011

        TROPICAL STORM EMILY      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N  66.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2011  15.9N  66.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.08.2011  17.0N  69.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.08.2011  18.8N  73.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.08.2011  19.9N  74.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2011  20.4N  77.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2011  22.1N  78.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2011  24.0N  80.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2011  26.7N  82.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2011  29.0N  83.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE EUGENE     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 111.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2011  14.4N 111.2W    STRONG
 12UTC 03.08.2011  15.4N 113.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.08.2011  16.3N 116.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.08.2011  17.0N 119.0W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.08.2011  17.7N 121.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.08.2011  18.2N 124.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.08.2011  18.7N 126.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2011  18.8N 129.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.5N  95.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2011  13.5N  95.9W   MODERATE
 12UTC 03.08.2011  13.4N  96.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.08.2011  13.5N  97.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2011  13.5N  99.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 030446